Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
