MX23RW : Tuesday, September 27 11:45:14
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Mar 28, 2021 at 8pm UK at Estadio Nacional
Portugal U21s
2 - 0
England U21s
Mota (64'), Trincao (74' pen.)
Correia (52'), Ramos (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godfrey (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawEngland Under-21s
45.43%22.37%32.2%
Both teams to score 66.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.96%34.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.08%55.92%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41%44.59%
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53%21.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5%54.5%
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 45.43%
    England Under-21s 32.2%
    Draw 22.37%
Portugal Under-21sDrawEngland Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.89%
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-3 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.35%
3-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.2%

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