MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 20:15:02
SM
Sunday, May 7
L
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
L
Lugano
2 - 1
Luzern
Lavanchy (20'), Haile-Selassie (83')
Sabbatini (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Drager (45+1')
Cumic (14'), Drager (46')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
42.26%25.59%32.14%
Both teams to score 54.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77%71.23%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87%23.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01%56.98%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31%64.68%
Score Analysis
    Lugano 42.26%
    Luzern 32.14%
    Draw 25.59%
LuganoDrawLuzern
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.14%

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Swiss Super League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Young Boys321910377265167
2Servette32111564345-248
3LuganoLugano32121195143847
4Luzern321210105347646
5Basel321012104339442
6Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper32117145057-740
7St GallenSt Gallen32910135348537
8FC Zurich32813113450-1637
9FC WinterthurWinterthur3288163059-2932
10Sion32710154060-2031
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