Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.