Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.