Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 3-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
