Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
