SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
60.32% ( -0.06) | 21.19% ( 0.03) | 18.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58% ( -0.07) | 42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.07) | 64.4% ( 0.07) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( -0.04) | 13.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.45% ( -0.08) | 40.54% ( 0.08) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( -0) | 36.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.87% ( -0) | 73.13% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 82 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 39 | 45 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 66 |
| 5 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 54 |
| 6 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 74 | -55 | 23 |
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