SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Galatasaray |
37.15% ( -0.02) | 26.12% ( -0) | 36.73% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.01) | 50.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0) | 72.61% ( -0.01) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.01) | 26.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.28% ( -0.01) | 61.72% ( 0.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.01) | 26.76% ( -0.02) |
