SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Giresunspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
25.68% ( -0.16) | 25.41% ( -0.01) | 48.91% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% ( -0.08) | 51.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.07) | 73.58% ( 0.07) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( -0.18) | 35% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.26% ( -0.19) | 71.74% ( 0.19) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( 0.04) | 21.2% ( -0.04) |
