SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.44%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Como had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Como |
44.44% ( -1.56) | 28.01% ( 0.5) | 27.55% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.73% ( -1.15) | 60.27% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( -0.88) | 80.44% ( 0.88) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -1.33) | 27.02% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.62% ( -1.77) | 62.38% ( 1.77) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.26) | 38.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.19% ( 0.25) | 74.81% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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