SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Benevento |
41.52% ( -0.8) | 28.49% ( 0.17) | 29.99% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.4) | 60.92% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.3) | 80.94% ( 0.3) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.63) | 28.91% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.21% ( -0.79) | 64.78% ( 0.79) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.26) | 36.45% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.76% ( 0.26) | 73.23% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.59% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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