Since Udinese won 4-0 in their last home game against Roma, back in September 2022, much has changed at both clubs. A similar result in the visitors' favour is not totally improbable on this occasion, but the Giallorossi's margin of victory may just be a little narrower.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.24) 
