Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
