Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
