SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
38.14% ( -0.34) | 27.61% ( 0.03) | 34.25% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.06) | 56.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.05) | 77.81% ( 0.04) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.23) | 28.89% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.24% ( -0.28) | 64.76% ( 0.28) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.18) | 31.31% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.34% ( 0.21) | 67.66% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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