SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
77% ( 0.31) | 14.74% ( -0.14) | 8.26% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.05) | 36.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.05) | 59.12% ( -0.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.11% ( 0.07) | 7.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.08% ( 0.2) | 27.92% ( -0.2) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.37) | 49.12% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.95% ( -0.26) | 84.04% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.99% | 1-1 @ 7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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