Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
