SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
49.77% ( 0.1) | 23.8% ( -0.03) | 26.43% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.09) | 44.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( 0.09) | 66.81% ( -0.09) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0.07) | 17.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.22% ( 0.13) | 48.77% ( -0.13) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -0) | 30.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.33% ( -0) | 66.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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