Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Mirandes and Lugo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
