MX23RW : Sunday, April 23 17:20:25
SM
Sunday, April 23
Oct 23, 2021 at 7.30pm UK at Estadio La Rosaleda
Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Malaga
1 - 0
Lugo
Rodriguez (31')
Gassama (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alende (33'), Pita (54')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawLugo
42.97%29.95%27.08%
Both teams to score 40.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.52%66.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.09%84.91%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14%30.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.14%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03%41.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59%78.41%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 42.96%
    Lugo 27.08%
    Draw 29.95%
MalagaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.22%
2-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 7.77%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.95%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 27.08%

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Segunda Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1EibarEibar371812741311066
2Granada361971046262064
3Las PalmasLas Palmas371615642261663
4AlavesAlaves361711841271462
5Levante371517539261362
6Albacete37151394843558
7CartagenaCartagena37168134439556
8FC AndorraFC Andorra37149143930951
9Burgos361214103027350
10Real Oviedo371310142629-349
11Real ZaragozaZaragoza371115113534148
12TenerifeTenerife361113123633346
13Huesca361016103130146
14Villarreal II371210154146-546
15Leganes361210143035-546
16Sporting GijonSporting Gijon371015123638-245
17MirandesMirandes361112134245-345
18Racing de SantanderRacing361011153237-541
19Malaga37912163339-639
20PonferradinaPonferradina37715153047-1736
21UD Ibiza37611203159-2829
22LugoLugo37512202248-2627
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