Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.