Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Sporting Gijon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35%. A draw had a probability of 32.6% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (6.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.17%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (14.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
