St Johnstone have been strong defensively in recent matches and considering Hibernian are missing one of their biggest attacking threats, they could be able to shut the door in this match.
While the game will no doubt be tight between two clubs that need to pick up some momentum sooner rather than later the Saints could edge this.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
