SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
45.4% ( -0) | 25.88% ( 0.01) | 28.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.02) | 51.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.02) | 73.57% ( 0.02) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.01) | 22.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.53% ( -0.02) | 56.47% ( 0.02) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( -0.01) | 32.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.88% ( -0.01) | 69.11% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Hearts | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
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