SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
11.53% ( 0.01) | 15.2% ( -0.14) | 73.27% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.92% ( 0.77) | 28.08% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.16% ( 0.94) | 48.84% ( -0.94) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( 0.57) | 36.38% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.84% ( 0.57) | 73.16% ( -0.57) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.39% ( 0.2) | 6.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.43% ( 0.54) | 24.57% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.53% | 1-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.2% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.03% ( -0.1)0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 5.52% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 3% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.08)2-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| First Phase | |||||||||
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| R | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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