Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Arbroath |
38.57% ( 0.03) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 34.94% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.63% ( 0.13) | 52.37% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.94% ( 0.11) | 74.06% ( -0.11) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( 0.08) | 26.5% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( 0.1) | 61.69% ( -0.1) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.37% ( 0.07) | 28.63% ( -0.06) |