SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
50.36% ( 0.16) | 23.95% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.1) | 45.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.09) | 68.01% ( -0.09) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.1) | 18.19% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.8% ( 0.17) | 49.19% ( -0.17) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.04) | 31.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.87% ( -0.05) | 68.12% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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