Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
