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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
56.86% ( 7.13) | 22.21% ( -2.07) | 20.92% ( -5.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( 3.8) | 43.08% ( -3.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( 3.65) | 65.48% ( -3.65) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 3.95) | 14.95% ( -3.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.64% ( 7.02) | 43.35% ( -7.03) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -2.37) | 34.46% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.82% ( -2.6) | 71.17% ( 2.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.89)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.97)3-0 @ 5.9% ( 1.22)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.77)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.85)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.4)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.42)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.86% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -1.06) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.92)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.97) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -1.41)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.99)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.45)Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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