SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 8.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
75.95% ( -0.06) | 15.11% ( 0.1) | 8.94% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.63) | 36.29% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.58% ( -0.7) | 58.41% ( 0.7) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.03% ( -0.16) | 7.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.88% ( -0.41) | 28.11% ( 0.4) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% ( -0.53) | 47.12% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.42% ( -0.4) | 82.57% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 75.95% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.11% | 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 8.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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