Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 94.65%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 0.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.93%) and 2-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (0.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
94.65% ( 0) | 4.46% ( -0.01) | 0.89% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 21.44% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.1% ( 0.02) | 25.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.91% ( 0.02) | 46.08% ( -0.02) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.3% ( 0) | 2.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.56% ( 0.01) | 12.44% ( -0.01) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
22.03% ( 0) | 77.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
2.63% | 97.37% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
3-0 @ 16.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 7-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 8-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 94.63% | 0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 4.46% | Other @ 0.89% Total : 0.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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