SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
56.24% ( 0.13) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( -0.07) | 48.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -0.06) | 70.38% ( 0.06) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.02) | 16.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.95% ( 0.04) | 47.05% ( -0.03) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( -0.15) | 37.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.39% ( -0.15) | 74.61% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| R | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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