Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
