Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
