Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
