Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
