Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
