SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
47.38% ( 1.55) | 26.32% ( -0.55) | 26.3% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% ( 1.47) | 54.92% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( 1.2) | 76.21% ( -1.19) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( 1.38) | 23.18% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% ( 1.97) | 57.07% ( -1.96) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.03) | 36.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.06% ( -0.04) | 72.94% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
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