Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
