SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
28.16% ( 0.03) | 26.41% ( 0.02) | 45.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( -0.05) | 54.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% ( -0.04) | 75.57% ( 0.04) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0) | 34.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.06% ( -0) | 70.94% ( -0) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.05) | 23.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.08% ( -0.06) | 57.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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