Make no mistake, this is a really difficult game for West Ham, with the Magpies a much-improved outfit. A few weeks ago, the Hammers would have fancied their chances of winning this match relatively comfortably, but we are backing Howe's side to claim a share of the spoils at London Stadium on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
