Both Newcastle and Everton will hope to see their wealth of January arrivals act as the catalysts for a better second half of the season, and confidence may slowly be growing in the two camps.
Howe's side are sure to take note of the Toffees' frailties on the road, but with an abundance of talent set to take their place on the Everton bench, some inspired substitutions could turn the tide in Lampard's favour on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
