We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa secured a routine win in the reverse fixture against Newcastle earlier this season, but they are set to face a different proposition on Sunday and could be in for a challenging afternoon in the North-East.
Confidence is beginning to grow within the Magpies camp and although they will be desperate to claim another three points here, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
