SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
23.42% ( -0.33) | 23.1% ( -0.04) | 53.49% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -0.16) | 44.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.16) | 66.47% ( 0.16) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.38) | 32.73% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.71% ( -0.42) | 69.29% ( 0.42) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.07) | 16.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.87% ( 0.13) | 46.13% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.42% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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