We said: Manchester City 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur
Man City have won six of their last seven home matches against Tottenham in all competitions, and we are finding it very difficult to back against the Citizens here. Spurs will be desperate to return to winning ways, but Guardiola's side are incredibly strong at the moment, so we can only see one winner here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
