Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Everton had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
