Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
