MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 21:11:17
SM
Newcastle vs. Arsenal: 18 hrs 18 mins

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
40.09%25.95%33.96%
Both teams to score 54.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76%50.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81%72.19%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.89%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.09%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 33.96%
    Draw 25.94%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.96%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224
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