Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
