Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
